Ukraine Flash Updates
Weekly Intelligence summaries (INTSUM) and flash updates for public consumption, rapidly prepared in response to the war. Removed when no longer current. FLASH 01 remains up permanently as a reminder of the framing of the conflict.
FLASH 01 – Russia Falsely Claims Ukrainian Incursion
22/02/2022
BLUF: Russian claims of a Ukrainian military incursion into Russian territory are false. The video footage presented as evidence is from inside Ukraine’s borders. This will likely be used as one of their casūs belli to invade within the next two weeks due to a narrow weather window.
FLASH 241 (26-28) –
INTSUM D+1599
12/07/2026
ICOD: 120600ZJUL26 D+1599
BLUF: Attrition, not manoeuvre, is the defining characteristic of the ground war this period. Russian forces’ rate of advance has collapsed 94% relative to 2025…